Global Agrochemical Intermediates: Four Scopes, the Patent Cliff and the 2026 Bottleneck中文
Why USD 17.48 bn merchant and USD 42.60 bn full-scope both hold, and how a single K-amine plant sets the price
Reconstructing size around downstream divergence
The core value of this report is taking apart the overly broad 'fine chemicals' label. It presents three institutions' sizing side by side, explains where the differences come from, and then sizes and ranks growth by downstream: pharmaceuticals and nutraceuticals, agrochemicals, electronic chemicals, new-energy materials, flavours and fragrances, and surfactants.
It also covers the Chinese supply side: RMB 4.19 trillion in 2025, up 8.1%, with average gross margin of 32.5%, against 15%–20% excess capacity at the low end. The report answers which segments merit investment and which are already in shake-out.
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Different boundaries produce different sizes; always cite the institution and definition.
| Source | Base-year size | Forecast year | Forecast size | CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortune Business Insights | 205.20 亿美元 (2025) | 2034 | 327.16 亿美元 | 5.3% |
| Persistence Market Research | 238.1 亿美元 (2025) | 2032 | 355.6 亿美元 | 5.9% |
| Future Market Insights | 207.8 亿美元 (2025) | 2036 | 406.9 亿美元 | 6.3% |
Source: 各机构公开发布摘要,2025–2026
This outline is a roadmap: the brief delivered today is 4 pages — abstract, key findings, cross-source table, and scope/players. The chapters below are not in the current brief; they are candidates for chapter purchase or an annual subscription.
Why USD 17.48 bn merchant and USD 42.60 bn full-scope both hold, and how a single K-amine plant sets the price
Specialty additives under tightening compliance, substitution and capacity structure
Outsourcing demand and capacity structure as molecules get harder
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